Taking a £500 bank and posting what look to be value wagers during month of August. All bets are win only unless otherwise stated. Edit
Bank update Monday 31st £304
P/L -£196
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Monday 31st
Newcastle 4.45
Result: -Nr
Philip Makin and Michael Dodds team-up with the well handicapped Burning Incense (12/1 Betfair) and despite showing no recent good form the sight of Makin spells improvement. Jeremy Glovers Incomparable looks the main danger
Epsom 3.10
Result: -Ran well
Indian Trail Lost -£25
Jargelle and Starlit Sands are very closely matched and either are capable of finding more improvement but its the other end of the age spectrum that catches my attention with Indian Trail (5/1 Betfair) looking very well handicapped and with Dane O'Neill back riding he could well roll back the years and give Dandy another winner.
Stakes: -
£25 Indian Trail
£15 Burning Incense
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Sunday 30th
Curragh
3.45
Result: -Sank in the mud.
Lillie Langtry Lost -£25
This looks a match between Long Lashes and Lilly Langtry (10/11 Betfair) siding with the O'Brien filly to book her invitation to the Breeders Cup with a win on this more suitable course than was met at Ascot on her only defeat in the Albany Stakes.
4.45
Result: -Never showed
Always Be True Lost -£5
Where did that one come from? Yes thats the phrase that sums-up this race and the pin has come up with Always Be True (24/1 Betfair).
5.15
Result: -Reverence won well
Look Busy Lost -£15
Over the years this has been won by the same horse in consecutive years Benbaun, 3 times, for Kevin Ryan and Tedburrow, twice, for Eric Alston, and Eric has Reverence here. Look Busy (7/2 Betfair) won last year with Slade O'Hara riding and despite Declan McDonogh taking over in the saddle I think the filly can improve to beat the Willie Supple/Eric Alston combination, just.
Goodwood
2.45
Result: -Never showed.
Class Attraction Lost -£10
Interesting race with John Hammond bringing over Class Attraction (9/1 Betfair) with Jimmy Fortune on board for Peter Savill and despite the opposition looking strong I take the Montjeu trainer to have planned this raid with success in mind.
3.55
Result: -Unlucky?
Cat Junior Lost -£20
Asset I hoped would give a better account of himself at Deauville LTO but it proved the going was too soft for him there. Still it was a very poor showing. He may well go very close here. Cat Junior (7/2 Betfair) is proving hard to get right and with him not staying any particular distance, well, I will take a chance on this course helping him steal a race and with Darryll Holland being a past master at that tactic I side with the Meehan horse to beat Asset.
Stakes: -
£25 Lilly Langtry
£10 Class Attraction
£20 Cat Junior
£5 Always Be True
£15 Look Busy
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Saturday 29th
Windsor 6.10
Result: -Age Of Reason Lost -£25
Not much time unfortunately so short and sweet (I hope) Age Of Reasons (2/1 Betfair) recent run behind Kite Wood is the best form here and if able to show anything close to that then Frankie could bring this one home in front.
6.40
Result: -Just lasted home from Bankable.
Campanologist Won +£31.25
The Winter Hill Stakes signals the end to Windsors summer evening meetings, sadly. The only Group race to be run at this course has been won 6 times in the past by Sir Michael Stoute and this years renewal is a tight looking affair. Kingdom Of Fife is owned by Her Majesty The Queen and despite this owners recent lack of Group success Kingdom Of Fife could well go close here. Richard Hannon loves this track and his Pure Poetry is not far off being good enough to win a Listed or Group 3 event and seeing as this is a weakish looking Group 3 race the Hannon runner could well sneak it. Frankie rides Campanologist (5/4 Betfair)and his run behind Jukebox Jury in the Lancaster Stakes at Haydock and it is the run that looks one of the stronger pieces of form on show here. The ex-Mike De Kock trained Bankable attained even better form than that of Campanologist in Dubai but the plague seems to have beset those that ran at that Carnival. Frankie gets the nod.
Newmarket 3.25
Result: -Fair run.
Swiss Diva Lost -£25
Swiss Diva (10/1 VC bet ) looks well treated in this and like Palace Moon will find the rising ground a help. She is about right in the market at 10/1 given the competitive look of the race and her trainers poor form of late but expectations are she will be better than this lot given her entries.
Goodwood 2.35
Result: -Mourilyan Won +£50
Another St Ledger trial with Urban Poet expected to lay down strong claims to that Classic but if he fails to find the expected improvement then Mourilyan (5/1 VC Bet) could pick up the pieces. The selections latest run at Newbury was a little too short in distance and this extra furlong could prove to be a helpful difference.
3.35
Result: - Delegator Won +£20
The Celebration Mile a Group 2 is the highlight on this card and has proved a happy hunting ground for Sir Michael Stoute, Zacinto, with him winning 5 of the last 9 running's and despite this I still see Delegator (4/5 Betfair )as the winner given his improving profile and the former Brian Meehan trained runner will enjoy this faster track and if the going dries it will all be in the selections favour.
Beverley 3.35
Result: -Masta Plasta Lost -£10
There is an assumption that a high draw is going to be an advantage in this and with the Dandy Nicholls trained Masta Plasta (5/1 Betfair)being in stall 14 and Ed McMahon's Noble Storm in stall 16 we look set for a good duel. Masta Plasta ran well in France and despite what looks strong opposition here the Lady O'Reilly gelding should be far too good if reproducing that run.
Stakes: -
£25 Swiss Diva
£10 Mourilyan
£25 Delegator
£10 Masta Plasta.
£25 Campanologist
£25 Age Of Reason
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Friday 28th
No Bet
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Thursday 27th
No Bet
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Wednesday 26th
Warwick 3.30
Result: -Ran a fair race.
Baddam Lost -£10
Baddam (15/2 Betfair)trained by Ian Williams looks to have a good chance and with the rain coming may not be as inconvenienced as others judging on his run at Ascot in May last year. Nemo Spirit is the other that will benefit from easing of the going.
Ayr 3.40
Result: -Gambled on but out-classed.
High Severa Lost -£10
High Severa (8/1 Betfair) was highly tried at HQ last time and although found wanting there he could have a good chance here in this much lesser race of reproducing his winning Maiden run when today's jockey was in the plate.
Stakes: -
£10 High Severa
£10 Baddam
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Tuesday 25th
No Bet
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Monday 24th
Windsor 4.30
Result: -Never in contention.
Serious Impact Lost -£20
Serious Impact (7/4 Betfair)has plenty in his favour and if on song after his break he should have little problem landing the odds against this opposition.
Stakes: -
£20 Serious Impact
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Sun 23rd
Musselburgh 4.20
Result: -Fivefootnumberone Lost -£10
Difficult to choose between the top and bottom weights in this and added to this is the competitive look of the race but will go with the John Quinn runner Fivefootnumberone (12/1 Betfair) The selection ran well behind Raccoon in a seller last time and is getting to a handicap mark that makes him worthy of considerable consideration. Sooner rather than later he will be found an excuse for improvement and the soft ground here could well be proffered afterwards as his wont.
Stakes: -
£10 Fivefootnumberone
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Sat 22nd
No Bet
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Fri 21st Salisbury 6.25.
Result: - Big market drifter. Raine's Cross Lost -£15
This race looks between Big Audio and Raine's Cross (6/1 Bet365) in my book and given Godolphin 2yos are good at finding improvement this will be a fair step-up if their Black Snowflake makes the necessary improvement to beat either of the aforementioned and despite the fact that his Official Handicap rating has gone up to 92 from 86 I doubt that it will happen. Stakes: - £15 Raine's Cross
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Mon 17th
No bet
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Sun 16th
Deauville 3.25
Result: -Ran poorly again.
Gladiatorus Lost -£10
Gladiatorus (13/2 Bet365) was seen my many as the top older performer in the world before his flop in the Queen Anne at Ascot behind Paco Boy if that run can be forgiven then he has a better chance than his odds suggest.
Pontefract 4.10
Result: -Good run, out-classed.
Kaolak Lost -£20
Just like yesterday the value seems to have been taken earlier with a 10/1 into 4/1 plunge on Kaolak (4/1 widely available) but the horse should still win and I could certainly do with one of those. His run in the Hampton Court Stakes at Ascot is reading very well with many winners coming out of that race since, at a higher level than this, just ahead of him there.
Curragh 4.15
Result: - Heart Shaped Lost -£20
There looks to be a good sprint in prospect here and with Benbaun out the British raiders are weakened but far from out and with the British sprinters showing such superiority of late it is difficult to oppose them but Ballydoyle have such strength in-dept that they are able to drop their lees than very best into races like this in the hope that black type may come their way and Heart Shaped (6/1 Bet365)has the numbers in the book to trouble these. Although not at this distance but race conditions may well level the playing field in her favour.
Stakes: -
£20 Kaolak
£10 Gladiatorus
£20 Heart Shaped
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Sat 15th
Newmarket 2.50
Result: -Heavily backed, failed to fire.
Berbice Lost -£10
Berbice (13/2 various) is being heavily backed and with pleats applied improvement is expected and if his old form is found then he should easily see off Sir Edwin Lanseer in this oddity of a race.
Newbury 3.10
Result: - Every chance, faded.
Evasive Lost -£25
With Frankie Dettori having such a good record in this race, winning it five times, Evasive (2/1 Bet365) must have an excellent chance to open his account for this season after being tried at a higher level the last twice and on both occasions he posed personal best performances. Last season saw him winning the Horris Hill Stakes here and he looks a worthy favorite.
Newmarket 3.25
Result: - Slow out, held-up, some late headway.
Bonnie Charlie Lost -£25
Bonnie Charlie (20/1 Various)can give Jobe most to think about in a very competitive 3yo handicap despite going unsupported by the Hannon yard.
Ripon 3.55
Result: -Up with the pace on far side, finished a good 3rd.
Advanced Lost -£20
The big sprint handicap of the day and Dandy Nicholls (sorry, Kevin Ryan, surely trains!) has pointed plenty of his good sprinters at this in the past but I fancy Advanced to show his run in the Wokingham at Ascot earlier this season was no fluke and at odds of 12/1(Widely available) he can find the sort of form that won him the Ayr Gold Cup in 07. His young lady jockey does not present a problem in my eyes.
Lingfield 6.00
Result: - Every chance, faded!
Breadstick Lost -£10
A claiming race with some interesting jockey bookings but the Hughie Morrison trained Breadstick (SP) looks the one to be on given the trainers record in this sphere.
Stakes: -
£10 Berbice
£25 Evasive
£25 Bonnie Charlie
£20 Advanced
£10 Breadstick
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Fri 14th
Newmarket 8.05
Result: - Good run. Big Improver.
Pyrrha Won +£15
Pyrrha (Ev's Betfair (AvB))looks to be drifting in th market at the expense of solid support for Glenn Molly. I'm going to side with the Chris Wall filly who ran a fair race over course and distance LTO. Interesting match.
Newmarket 5.55
Result: -Led, clear, faded.
Burnwynd Boy Lost -£10
Burnwynd Boy (20/1 Bet365) Dandy Nicholls tries blinkers on this 4yo in an attempt to awaken his potential and if blinkers does help this former Ian Semple trained gelding to find his old form again he is indeed on a very lenient mark.
Stakes: -
£10 Burnwynd Boy.
£15 Pyrrha
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Thu 13th
Salisbury 4.15
Result: -Nr
Richard Hannon has a good record at this his local track and comes here with a fair tool in the shape of Ordinance Row (Weak 12/1 Betfair) who won this race last year from Laa Rayb in a driving finish and despite the Stoute yard having Confront who boast some good Group 2 form I still fancy the Hannon horse to assert again.
Leopardstown 7.25
Result: -Ran 2nd to very smooth winner Profound Beauty.
Mourayan Lost -£25
Mourayan (SP) represents 3yo form and looks best suited by this 12f despite not having won over the distance to date.
Stakes: -
£10 Ordinance Row.
£25 Mourayan.
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Wed 12th
Gowran Park 7.20
Result: - Travelled best, strode out well, clear with runner-up of remainder. Chinese White Won +£50
Chinese White (Weak 4/1 Betfair)ran well at this venue last season and that run prompted some tipsters to put her up as a possible oaks contender. Those high aspirations were found wanting at Epsom but back on this track and getting 5lb from She's Our Mark gives her a more realistic chance than she had on Oaks day.
Stakes: -
£25 Chinese White
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Tue 11th
Nottingham 7.55
Result: - Out classed by Biniou.
Wi Dud Lost -£10
Wi Dud (9/2 Betfair) runs without the headgear but could well play a leading role in the finish as conditions seem to be coming in his favour and all the better if Godolphin's Dandy Man fails to take part .
Stakes: -
£10 Wi Dud
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Mon 10th
Thirsk 8.30.
Result: -Ran well.
Blades Princess Lost -£15
Ed McMahon has his string in better form now than when Blades Princess (20/1 Betfair) was running abysmally earlier on in the season. Last season she gave Glamorous Spirit a lesson in sprinting at Beverley. Better than her odds predict.
Stakes: -
£15 Blades Princess
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Sunday 9th
Deauville 3.30
Result: - Slow out of stalls.
Asset Lost -£10
This race was won last season by Marchand D'Or for the third time making French racing history in the process The raiders from across the channel have come in force this time and Asset (9/1 Betfair) can show his good run behind High Standing was just a pointer for more to come because he will certainly need to find more in-order to beat Naaqoos whilst Kings Apostle seems to need an uphill finish to bring the best out of him.
Tipperary 3.35
Result: - Every chance.
Croisultan Lost -£10
Croisultan (SP) is the one for me after his disappointing run at Epsom he may have got some of his confidence back now and can reverse recent form with Aine.
Stakes: -
£10 Croisultan
£10 Asset
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Sat 8th
Arlington 10.42
Result: - Wide into straight and last, ran on for 4th.
Cima De Troimphe lost -£10
Again the form from the Coral-Eclipse comes to the fore with Cima De Troimphe (5/1 Betfair) running in the Arlington Million. Gio Ponti could well be the architect with designs on his downfall though.
Ascot 3.30
Result : - Slow out of the stalls but ran on.
Heron Bay Lost -£10
Heron Bay (8/1 Betfair) looks Hayley Turner's best chance of a winner today in her Shergar Cup rides and with 12f and the testing going at Ascot likley to help all looks good.
Haydock 2.40
Result : -Strong, determined run and stayed best.
Jukebox Jury Won +£70
Some races throughout a season produce very strong form to follow and The Coral-Eclipse Stakes at Sandown early last month(July) is looking to be one such race. With Rip Van Winkle winning the Sussex Stakes at Goodwood, Conduit winning the King George and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot there is a lot to like about the finishing position of Jukebox Jury (7/1 Betfair)who was only dispensed with in the last furlong and despite this being a strong race I still expect this 3yo to give a good account of himself from the still improving Duncan.
Stakes: -
£10 Jukebox Jury.
£10 Heron Bay.
£10 Cima De Troimphe.
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Fri 7th
Newmarket 8.20
Result: - Klynch Lost -£10
Klynch (10/1 Betfair) is a sleeper in this race and if showing its best form can win in this company from Silver Wind.
Stakes: -
£10 Klynch
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Thur 6th
Sandown 7.55
Result: - Tottie Lost -£10
Tottie (11/4 Betfair) looks to have a good chance in this classy 3yo handicap and is due to go up 5lb in future handicaps.
Haydock 3.40
Result: - Tiger Reigns Won +£30
Going with the Michael Dodds runner Tiger Reigns(SP) with his run behind Firebet reading the best piece of form on show.
Stakes: -
£10 Tiger Reigns
£10 Tottie
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Wed 5th
Result: - Prominent, faded out tamely, finished last.
Night Crescendo Lost -£25
Pontefract 3.40
Night Crescendo (7/1 Betfair) is the one with most in his favour and is at a level that makes him a treat.
Stakes: -
£25 Night Crescendo
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Tue 4th
No bet
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Mon 3rd
Windsor 8.30
Result: - Well held by less exposed types.
Kyle Lost -£15
Kyle (6/1 Betfair drifting) Good record for this jockey/trainer combination.
Ripon 3.45
Result: -Finished last.
Ajigolo Lost -£5
Noel Wilson trains Ajigolo (40/1 Betfair) and the former Mick Channon inmate is now extremely well handicapped and can take this ahead of the Richard Fahey trained Mister Laurel.
Stakes: -
£5 Ajigolo
£15 Kyle
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Sun 2nd
Chester 3.30
Result: -Beckermet Lost -£10
Beckermet(16/1 Betfair) might get an easy lead in this his first race after a break. His stable are in good form and have a heavily supported runner in the Nursery earlier on this card.
Chester 4.05
Result: -Stevie Thunder Lost -£20
Stevie Thunder(6/1 Betfair) met plenty of trouble in his latest race and could get compensation in this 'lesser' race where he is well drawn and he could well be 'towed' into the race with so many front runners in the field.
Stakes: -
£10 Beckermet
£20 Stevie Thunder
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Sat 1st
Result: - Enjoyed conditions and she had this field in trouble some distance out. Clear
Impressible Won +£50
Hamilton 8.10 Impressible (5/1 Betfair) looks to be improving and got the better of Betoliver when getting 11lb but was up against some classy animals LTO at Chester and ran very well for a long way. Looks the one to be on here despite drifting in the market. Stakes: - £10 Impressible
